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I ran 5 million Monte Carlo simulations of the full NFL season to calculate the effect of every game on the playoff and draft position odds for every team. Click on your team to find out which team you should root for in each game this week to maximize your odds for making it to the playoffs or winning the Superbowl. If you’re tanking, you can also see how to strategically root for teams that maximize your odds of getting the first overall draft pick. For details on how the values in this table are calculated, see the Methodology page.

Data is updated every Tuesday.

League Standings

Select your team to see who you should root for this week

Team
Record
Playoff Odds
Conf Champ
SB Champ
Top 5 Pick
Buffalo Bills logo
BUF
12-5100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Carolina Panthers logo
CAR
8-9100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Chicago Bears logo
CHI
11-6100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Denver Broncos logo
DEN
14-3100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Green Bay Packers logo
GB
9-7-1100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Houston Texans logo
HOU
12-5100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Jacksonville Jaguars logo
JAX
13-4100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Los Angeles Chargers logo
LAC
11-6100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Los Angeles Rams logo
LAR
12-5100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
New England Patriots logo
NE
14-3100.0%100.0%37.6%0.0%
Philadelphia Eagles logo
PHI
11-6100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Pittsburgh Steelers logo
PIT
10-7100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
San Francisco 49ers logo
SF
12-5100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Seattle Seahawks logo
SEA
14-3100.0%100.0%62.4%0.0%
Arizona Cardinals logo
ARI
3-140.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%
Atlanta Falcons logo
ATL
8-90.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Baltimore Ravens logo
BAL
8-90.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Cincinnati Bengals logo
CIN
6-110.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Cleveland Browns logo
CLE
5-120.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Dallas Cowboys logo
DAL
7-9-10.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Detroit Lions logo
DET
9-80.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Indianapolis Colts logo
IND
8-90.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Kansas City Chiefs logo
KC
6-110.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Las Vegas Raiders logo
LV
3-140.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%
Miami Dolphins logo
MIA
7-100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Minnesota Vikings logo
MIN
9-80.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
New Orleans Saints logo
NO
6-110.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
New York Giants logo
NYG
4-130.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%
New York Jets logo
NYJ
3-140.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers logo
TB
8-90.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Tennessee Titans logo
TEN
3-140.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%
Washington Commanders logo
WSH
5-120.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Column Descriptions:

Team: Team name and logo.

Record: Wins-Losses-Ties (Ties are omitted if it’s 0).

Playoff Odds: Odds of making the playoffs.

Conf Champ: Odds of winning your conference championship game.

SB Champ: Odds of winning the Super Bowl.

Top 5 Pick: Odds of securing a top 5 pick in the upcoming draft.